India

Cyclone Warning for northwest and adjoining west-central Bay of Bengal!!

The Very Severe Cyclonic Storm ‘Bulbul’ (Pronounced as Bul bul) over northwest and adjoining westcentral Bay of Bengal moved northwards with a speed of 7 kmph during past 06 hours, and lay centred at 0230 hrs IST of today, the 9th November 2019, over northwest and adjoining westcentral Bay of Bengal, near Lat.19.6°N and Long. 87.7°E about 230 km south-southwest of Sagar Islands (West Bengal), 370 km southwest of Khepupara (Bangladesh) and 130 km east-southeast of Paradip (Odisha). It is very likely to retain intensity during next 06 hours and very likely to move nearly northwards. Thereafter, it is very likely to re-curve northeastwards and expected to move fast and cross West Bengal – Bangladesh Coasts between Sagar Islands (West Bengal) and Khepupara (Bangladesh), across Sunderban delta by late evening/night of 9th November as a Severe Cyclonic Storm with maximum sustained wind speed of 110-120 Kmph gusting to 135 Kmph.

The Very Severe Cyclonic Storm ‘Bulbul’ is being tracked by the Doppler Weather Radars at Paradip and Gopalpur in addition to other observing platforms.

Warnings:

  • Rainfall:

Odisha:

Light to moderate rainfall at most places very likely over north coastal districts of Odisha (Puri, Kendrapara, Bhadrak, Balasore and Jagatsinghpur districts) during next 06 hours.

Light to moderate rainfall at most places very likely over north coastal districts of Odisha with isolated heavy to very heavy falls over Balasore, Bhadrak, Kendrapara and Jagatsinghpur districts and with heavy falls at isolated places over Jajpur district on 9th November 2019.

West Bengal:

Light to moderate rainfall at many places very likely over North and South 24 Parganas and east Medinipur districts during next 06 hours.

Light to moderate rainfall at most places very likely over coastal districts of West Bengal with heavy to very heavy falls at a few places and extremely heavy falls ( ≥ 20 cm in 24 hours) at isolated places over North & South 24 Parganas, East Medinipur, and isolated heavy to very heavy rainfall over West Medinipur, Howrah and Hooghly on 9th November 2019.

Light to moderate rainfall at most places very likely over coastal districts of West Bengal with heavy falls at isolated places over North and South 24 Parganas and Nadiya on 10th November 2019.

North-eastern States:

Light to moderate rainfall at many places with isolated heavy falls very likely over Mizoram and Tripura on 9th November and over South Assam& Meghalaya, Tripura, and Mizoram on 10th November.

  • Wind warning

Bay of Bengal: Gale wind speed reaching 140-150 kmph gusting to 165 kmph is prevailing over northwest & adjoining westcentral Bay of Bengal around the system centre. It is very likely to increase gradually and become 145-155 kmph gusting to 170 kmph by 9th morning and decrease gradually thereafter.

Odisha coast: Squally wind speed reaching 55-65 kmph gusting to 75 kmph is prevailing along & off Kendrapara, Jagatsinghpur, Balasore and Bhadrak districts. It is very likely to become Gale wind speed reaching 70-80 kmph gusting to 90 kmph from morning hours of 9th November along & off Jagatsinghpur, Kendrapara, Balasore and Bhadrak districts for subsequent 12 hours and decrease thereafter. Puri and Ganjam districts are likely to experience squally wind speed reaching 40-50 kmph gusting to 60 kmph during next 12 hours.

West Bengal coast: Squally wind speed reaching 50-60 kmph gusting to 70 kmph is prevailing over West Bengal coast. It will gradually increase becoming gale wind speed reaching 110-120 kmph gusting to 135 kmph from 09th afternoon for next 12 hours along & off East Medinipur, North & South 24 Parganas. Squally wind speed reaching 50-60 Kmph gusting to 70 Kmph also likely over adjoining districts of West Medinipur, Howrah and Hooghly during the same period.

  • Sea condition

Sea condition will be rough to very rough along & off south Odisha coast during next 12 hours. It is very likely to become high to very high till 9th night north Odisha coast and along & off West Bengal & Bangladesh coasts till 10th November morning.

Sea condition is very likely to be phenomenal over westcentral Bay of Bengal during next 06 hours and over northwest Bay of Bengal from 9th morning for next 12 hours. It is very likely to become high to very high for subsequent 12 hours. Sea condition will be high to very high over northeast Bay of Bengal till 9th evening and become rough to very rough for subsequent 12 hours.

  • Storm Surge

Storm surge of about 1.0 to 2.0 meter height above Astronomical tide is very likely to inundate low lying areas of South and North 24 Parganas and 0.5-1.0 meter height above Astronomical tide is very likely to inundate low lying areas of east Medinipur during the time of landfall. The maximum extent of inundation is likely to be around 2 km over South and North 24 Parganas.

  • Fishermen Warning

Total suspension of fishing operations over Odisha-West Bengal coasts till morning of 10th November.

Fishermen are advised not to venture into along & off Odisha – West Bengal coasts till 10th morning.

Fishermen are advised not to venture into westcentral & adjoining eastcentral Bay of Bengal during next 12 hours and over north Bay of Bengal for next 24 hours.

  • Damage Expected over coastal districts of north Odisha:

Damage to thatched houses/ huts. Unattached metal sheets may fly.

Damage to embankments/ salt pans.

Partial damage to power and communication lines.

Major damage to Kutcha and some damage to Pucca roads. Flooding of escape routes.

Breaking of tree branches, uprooting of trees. Damage to banana and papaya trees. Large dead limbs blown from trees.

Major damage to coastal crops

Damage Expected over coastal districts of West Bengal:

Major damage to thatched houses/ huts. Roof tops may blow off. Unattached metal sheets may fly.

Minor damage to power and communication lines.

Major damage to Kutcha and some damage to Pucca roads. Flooding of escape routes.

Breaking of tree branches, uprooting of large avenue trees. Moderate damage to banana and papaya trees. Dead limbs blown from trees.

Major damage to coastal crops.

Damage to embankments/ salt pans.

Small boats, country crafts may get detached from moorings.

  • Action suggested for coastal districts of north Odisha

Total suspension of fishing operations till 10th morning.

People in affected areas to remain indoors.

Movement in motor boats unsafe.

Beach movement to be restricted.

Action suggested for coastal districts of West Bengal

Total suspension of fishing operations till 10th morning.

Coastal hutment dwellers to be moved to safer places. Mobilise evacuation from coastal areas of South and North 24 Parganas. People in affected areas to remain indoors.

Rail and Road traffic to be regulated.

Movement in motor boats and small ships unsafe.

Beach movement to be restricted.

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